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Ankara’s military offensive against the Kurds

Turkey and Russia redraw the map in northeast Syria

With Operation Peace Spring, Turkey has gained control of part of northeast Syria, creating a buffer zone against Kurdish-led forces where it will be able to settle one million Syrian refugees. The Sochi agreement with Russia confirms Turkey’s influence over the border zone, and may allow Assad’s government to regain control of land held until now by the Kurds.

by Akram Belkaïd 
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Doing the deal: Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan at Sochi in October
Alexei Druzhinin · Tass · Getty

The Turkish army, supported by allied Syrian militias, crossed the border into northeast Syria at several points on 9 October, launching Operation Peace Spring. This Kurdish region — the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (NES) or Rojava (‘west’ in Kurdish), Syrian Kurdistan or the Democratic Federation of Northern Syria — was until 2013 controlled by the PYD (Democratic Union Party), the Syrian branch of the PKK (Kurdistan Workers’ Party).

Intense shelling that killed many civilians preceded the operation and several border towns, including Tell Abyad, were quickly captured. Turkish forces penetrated nearly 30km into Syrian territory and took control of a large section of the M4 motorway, the region’s main transport axis, achieving one of Ankara’s long-held primary objectives: to break up the territorial continuity of the autonomous zone. On 22 October Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Vladimir Putin signed a 10-point agreement in Sochi, confirming the autonomous zone’s new configuration. The YPG (People’s Protection Units, the PYD’s armed wing) are to withdraw to a distance of 30km from the Turkish-Syrian border, while Turkey retains control of the area between Tell Abyad and Ras al-Ayn.

Turkey's offensive forced the Kurds to yield control of some areas to the Syrian army. So paradoxically it has allowed Syria to recover some parts of its territory

A key to understanding the Turkish offensive and its implications is the consistency of the actors in the Syrian conflict. Turkey’s actions are in line with its long-term strategy to deprive the PKK of all rear bases in Syria, and to strengthen its own political and economic influence beyond its southern border. Syria’s president Bashar al-Assad condemned the violation of its territory, but under the Sochi agreement has recovered some areas until now controlled by the PYD.

Russia intends to remain supreme (…)

Full article: 2 094 words.

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Akram Belkaïd

Akram Belkaïd is a member of Le Monde diplomatique’s editorial team.
Translated by Charles Goulden

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(2Gracelin Baskaran, ‘Building critical minerals cooperation between the United States and the Democratic Republic of the Congo’, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington DC, March 2025.

(3Strengthening critical mineral supply chains by countering China’s dominance’, US International Development Finance Corporation, 2025.

(4See Anne-Cécile Robert, ‘Tanzania revives rail’, Le Monde diplomatique, English edition, February 2019.

(5See Erik Kennes and Nina Wilén, ‘DRC: chaos and misery of a failed state’, Le Monde diplomatique, English edition, May 2024.

(6See ‘Shafted: the scramble for critical minerals in the DRC’, The Oakland Institute, 21 October 2025, www.oaklandinstitute.org/.

(7Zobel Behalal, ‘Goma, one year on: Illicit profits, failed peace’, Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime, Geneva, 26 January 2026.

(8Giulia Paravicini and David Lewis, ‘Inside the mine that feeds the tech world – and funds Congo’s rebels’, Reuters, 13 August 2025.

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